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A City Built on Purpose: What the innovation ecosystem evidence offers Bradfield
The Sydney Plan places Bradfield beside the Sydney CBD and Parramatta as an anchor of the metropolitan economy. Drawing on more than ninety case studies behind The Handbook of Innovation Ecosystems, this Insight sets out what the international evidence says about the places that succeed, how ecosystems create value through productivity, resilience and conferral, and the three questions the Bradfield Development Authority now needs to answer about vision, integration and lived

Dr John H Howard
Aug 257 min read


Resilience and the Other Objectives: How Minister Ayres industrial reading of resilience works alongside productivity and competitiveness
When Senator Tim Ayres speaks of resilience, he means the capacity to keep functioning when the world does not cooperate, anchored in a robust industrial base. This Insight places that reading at the centre of the post-2020 turn in industrial policy and asks how it works alongside productivity and competitiveness. The answer lies in design: resilience investments that supply the complements firms need, and capabilities kept at home that also differentiate Australia in interna

Dr John H Howard
Aug 216 min read


Complementarity and Conferral: How a Victorian era railway hotel shows how innovation ecosystems create value
The Great Western Royal Hotel, now the Hilton London Paddington, opened in 1854 as part of Brunel's plan for a single journey linking hotel, railway and steamship. The building illustrates the complementarity principle in two dimensions. Functional complements build capability and performance. Reputational complements, or conferral, build credibility and attraction. Australian precinct policy attends closely to the first and much less to the second. Lasting advantage appears

Dr John H Howard
Aug 1810 min read


Australian data centres are booming, but the innovation payoff seems to be missing
Data centres are landing across Australian cities and regions as the largest private-capital commitments in a generation. The government's March 2026 Expectations document asks operators to build local research, innovation and capability as a condition of their social licence. The intent is sound; the mechanism is missing. Graham Christie sets out one candidate, a partner-led Community TechHub built alongside each new campus, that could turn a compliance line into measurable
Graham Christie
Aug 75 min read


The Migration of Value: Why the complements, not the technology, decide who wins
Technological progress rarely eliminates human value. It moves it. Each wave of innovation makes some capabilities abundant and others scarce. The value of a general-purpose technology sits in its complements: data, skills, workflows, governance and judgement. EMI invented the CT scanner and lost the market. Kodak invented the digital camera and went bankrupt. AI repeats the pattern, and who captures its value will turn on who builds the complements. The implications reach bu

Dr John H Howard
Aug 414 min read


The Dynamo and the Algorithm: Why Industrial AI will arrive at the speed of complements, and why boards are right to be cautious
Electricity took forty years to remake manufacturing, and the delay lay outside the technology: in factories, management and the institutions of trust. Industrial AI is on the same path. The Hugging Face intrusion exposed a missing complement in security assurance, and the 2008 financial crisis shows how systemic trust withdraws all at once when assurance fails. Board caution is rational; the task for policy is to build the assurance institutions early, before trust fails rat

Dr John H Howard
Jul 2813 min read


A new model: An Innovation and Industrial Strategy Commission
Australia already has many of the institutional ingredients needed for effective innovation ecosystem development. The problem is coordination. This Insight suggests a new Australian Innovation and Industrial Strategy Commission designed around Cabinet authority, statutory coordination, and federal engagement. Drawing on overseas experience and Australia’s constitutional realities, it argues for a practical model that aligns innovation, industry, research, and place-based dev

Dr John H Howard
May 143 min read


Coordinating the portfolio: Strategy for place-based ecosystems
Australia already possesses many of the institutional building blocks for a coordinated approach to place-based innovation. CSIRO, the National Reconstruction Fund, the Industry Capability Network, and the Net Zero Economy Authority all operate with distinct mandates and capabilities. The challenge is whether they can be aligned for shared regional and sectoral objectives. This Insight examines how coordination across these institutions could reshape innovation ecosystems and

Dr John H Howard
May 129 min read


The institutional instruments of effective innovation progress
Australia possesses many of the institutional ingredients needed for effective innovation ecosystem development. What remains largely absent is coordination across these instruments around shared, place-based objectives. This Innovation Insight examines the governance challenge through comparisons with the United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, Finland, Singapore, and New Zealand, and asks what kind of institutional mechanism Australia requires to align innovation, research, and in

Dr John H Howard
May 119 min read


Governing Innovation Ecosystems: Coordination for Translation
How should governments engage with innovation ecosystems? Research by the Acton Institute, examining over 90 innovation districts globally, finds no governance model that reliably outperforms others. What matters is whether arrangements align with local institutional foundations and address each ecosystem's binding constraint, the weakest capability that limits returns from all other investment. This Insight catalogues twelve governance categories from Silicon Valley to Singa

Dr John H Howard
Apr 2114 min read


Ambitious Australia Meets Industrial Statecraft: What Minister Ayres Sees and The Work Still to be Done
Minister Ayres's National Press Club address draws selectively on the SERD's Ambitious Australia report to support a broader industrial policy agenda. The report's proposed SRI architecture is largely absent. R&D is positioned as one of the instruments in a reindustrialisation. The broader innovation system, including management capability, absorptive capacity, and place-based ecosystems, is unaddressed at this stage. No doubt, more is coming on actions and initiatives.

Dr John H Howard
Apr 145 min read


Towards An Innovation Strategy That Puts Firms, Users and Places at the Centre
Australia's SERD report, Ambitious Australia, strengthens the research system but treats it as though it were the innovation system. This Innovation Insight argues for two shifts: defining innovation as the successful application of new ideas rather than production of research outputs, and widening the frame beyond science and technology to include creative practice, social innovation and place-based ecosystems. Firms, users and places, not universities alone, should be at th

Dr John H Howard
Apr 1310 min read


SERD’s unanswered questions on business incentives
The centrepiece proposals in Ambitious Australia would redefine what counts as R&D, leave the fiscal cost unexamined, and concentrate benefits on a very small proportion of Australian innovative businesses. The expanded startup stream converts the RDTI from an R&D incentive into an early-stage business subsidy. No OECD country subsidises deployment and commercialisation through its R&D tax incentive. Without forward estimates, it is impossible to judge whether proposed benefi

Dr John H Howard
Apr 106 min read


Constitutionally Untethered? The SERD Panel’s National Innovation Council and the Constraints It Does Not Address
The SERD report's proposed National Innovation Council cannot direct Ministers across thirteen portfolios. Section 64 of the Constitution vests that authority in individual Ministers. This Insight proposes an alternative: a Cabinet-level coordination mechanism paired with a statutory Innovation Commission for independent research on innovation and industry economics, complementing the Productivity Commission's efficiency analysis and IISA's continuing R&D Tax Incentive admini

Dr John H Howard
Apr 1012 min read


The Strategic Examination of R&D: Can Australia’s innovation system reform itself?
The Strategic Examination of Research and Development, released 17 March 2026, is the latest review diagnosing Australia's innovation system and proposing reform.
The panel's 20 recommendations are analytically sound and deliberately integrated. But the real test is implementation. Systemic reform must navigate sequential budgets, entrenched institutional resistance, and competing fiscal priorities, including defence, health, and cost-of-living measures.

Dr John H Howard
Mar 244 min read


AI Decisions That Cannot Wait: A New Book for Boards, Executives, Ministers and Advisers
Artificial intelligence is generating unprecedented investment and uncertainty. This book argues that AI outcomes depend less on the technology itself and more on what it combines with: data quality, management capability, workforce skills, governance capacity and institutional design. A structured framework for policymakers and executives making decisions before the evidence is complete.

Dr John H Howard
Mar 96 min read


The Complementarity Thesis and Place-Based Innovation: Why Technology Alone Is Never Enough
Why does the same technology lift productivity in some places and disappoint in others? The complementarity thesis explains the gap: returns depend on what technology is combined with. Applied to innovation districts, value comes from complements across placemaking, economics, business, and governance, underpinned by infrastructure. Leadership, collaboration, and learning mindsets become practical policy levers, not soft extras.

Dr John H Howard
Feb 1011 min read


Beyond Collisions: Towards A Theory of Serendipitous Interaction in Innovation Districts, Precincts and Hubs
Innovation precinct strategies routinely promise "chance encounters" and "spontaneous collaboration" as if bringing talented people together in well-designed spaces automatically produces productive connections. The evidence is weak.
Many precincts deliver proximity without interaction. Tenants occupy adjacent floors for years without substantive engagement. Shared amenities become places where people check phones rather than start conversations.
My latest Innovation Insight

Dr John H Howard
Jan 1323 min read


The Political Economy of Artificial Intelligence: Automation, Augmentation and the Future of Discovery
The productivity lag from AI reveals competing logics: automation that replaces labour to cut costs versus augmentation that expands capability to create value. For innovation ecosystems, this choice is existential. Strict safety regulations risk creating moats favouring large incumbents, while unrestricted deployment threatens research quality. The narrow path requires public interest AI infrastructure, risk-weighted governance, and incentives rewarding high-impact discovery

Dr John H Howard
Dec 16, 20257 min read


The Missing Function: Building Australia’s Innovation Intermediation for the Integrator Era
Australia’s innovation system contains multiple intermediary models, including consultants, brokers, mediators and resource providers. Each model contributes value, yet none resolves the persistent difficulty firms face when adopting external knowledge. This Insight argues that the absence of a dedicated technology transfer agent function is a major structural weakness. TTAs work inside firms, aggregate capability across institutions, and build adoption pathways.

Dr John H Howard
Dec 11, 20257 min read
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